AHLDashboard
Tuesday, June 17

Charlotte Checkers at Abbotsford Canucks

Abbotsford Centre · Abbotsford, BC

Charlotte Checkers
1:6
Final
Abbotsford Canucks

The sheet

CLTABBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
25%75%
xG
2.12.6
High danger
15
Chances
79
Shots
2929

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ABB above the lineCLT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 48% ABB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal29
7Scoring chances9
1High-danger chances5
2.10Expected goals2.58

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9821000.60.5
2nd9732020.70.7
3rd111426130.71.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLT−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLT212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
29
Saves
23
Allowed
6
xGA
2.58
GSAx
-3.42
Shots faced
29
Saves
28
Allowed
1
xGA
2.10
GSAx
+1.10

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 8:22Oliver Okuliar (1–0)medium · 9 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
  • 1st 16:10Penalty
  • 2nd 5:38Penalty
  • 2nd 6:43Samuel Blais (1–1)5v4 · high · 13 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 2nd 9:18Penalty
  • 2nd 9:18Penalty
  • 2nd 13:07Penalty
  • 2nd 13:07Penalty
  • 2nd 13:07Penalty
  • 3rd 3:58Linus Karlsson (1–2)medium · 15 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 3rd 6:16Penalty
  • 3rd 6:16Penalty
  • 3rd 6:16Penalty
  • 3rd 6:16Penalty
  • 3rd 11:27Penalty
  • 3rd 11:43Arshdeep Bains (1–3)5v4 · medium · 13 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 3rd 13:19Penalty
  • 3rd 13:19Penalty
  • 3rd 13:19Phillip Di Giuseppe (1–4)low · 30 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 3rd 13:43Penalty
  • 3rd 13:43Penalty
  • 3rd 13:43Penalty
  • 3rd 17:10Arshdeep Bains (1–5)empty net · low · 129 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 3rd 17:34Tristen Nielsen (1–6)high · 14 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen