AHLDashboard
‹ Thursday, June 19

Charlotte Checkers at Abbotsford Canucks

Abbotsford Centre · Abbotsford, BC

Charlotte Checkers
2:3
Final
Abbotsford Canucks

The sheet

CLTABBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
48%52%
xG
2.92.5
High danger
35
Chances
129
Shots
3423

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ABB above the lineCLT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 48% ABB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

34Shots on goal23
12Scoring chances9
3High-danger chances5
2.92Expected goals2.48

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–63–11–10.7–0.5
2nd8–82–30–10.6–0.9
3rd16–97–52–31.5–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLT−3−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLT33:47 of the 3rd16:1312:38+0.022 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Artūrs Šilovs
Shots faced
34
Saves
32
Allowed
2
xGA
2.92
GSAx
+0.92
Kaapo Kähkönen
Shots faced
23
Saves
20
Allowed
3
xGA
2.48
GSAx
-0.52

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:15Jonathan Lekkerimäki (0–1)low · 17 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 1st 2:03Penalty
  • 1st 4:09Penalty
  • 1st 4:09Penalty
  • 1st 5:03Penalty
  • 1st 9:33Penalty
  • 1st 16:42Penalty
  • 2nd 3:05Penalty
  • 2nd 11:30Arshdeep Bains (0–2)medium · 18 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 3rd 3:47Jonathan Lekkerimäki (0–3)grade A · 13 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 3rd 5:40Penalty
  • 3rd 7:23Penalty
  • 3rd 8:34Kyle Criscuolo (1–3)5v4 · medium · 17 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
  • 3rd 10:11Penalty
  • 3rd 10:11Penalty
  • 3rd 16:40Penalty
  • 3rd 16:40Penalty
  • 3rd 19:33Jack Devine (2–3)high · rebound · 14 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs