AHLDashboard
Monday, June 23

Abbotsford Canucks at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Abbotsford Canucks
3:2
Final
Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

ABBCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
42%58%
xG
2.12.8
High danger
33
Chances
710
Shots
2030

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLT above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

20Shots on goal30
7Scoring chances10
3High-danger chances3
2.11Expected goals2.83

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st61226110.71.3
2nd7723010.60.8
3rd71131210.80.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLT−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLT116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
30
Saves
28
Allowed
2
xGA
2.82
GSAx
+0.82
Shots faced
20
Saves
17
Allowed
3
xGA
2.11
GSAx
-0.89

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:49John Leonard (0–1)medium · 29 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
  • 1st 11:51Penalty
  • 1st 11:51Penalty
  • 1st 13:14Jack Devine (0–2)medium · 13 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
  • 1st 17:03Penalty
  • 1st 17:38Samuel Blais (1–2)5v4 · low · 41 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 2nd 3:44Danila Klimovich (2–2)medium · 15 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 2nd 7:04Penalty
  • 2nd 10:21Penalty
  • 2nd 17:19Linus Karlsson (3–2)low · 18 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 2nd 17:53Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 4:01Penalty
  • 3rd 6:28Penalty