Iowa Wild8:00 PM
Friday, October 2
Texas StarsBefore puck drop
45%55%
Projected from each club’s goal differential to date, shrunk toward league average so an early hot start does not read as dominance, plus home ice. Once the puck drops this becomes the live win probability, with deserve-to-win marked across it.
Season to date
Iowa Wild27369
63 points in 72 games
16–20 on the road
Texas Stars37296
80 points in 72 games
19–17 at home
Neither club has played yet this season, so everything here is how 2025-26 finished.
What they create
2.49Goals per game3.08
2.49Expected goals per game2.58
3.8High-danger chances per game4.1
27.2Shots per game26.9
What they allow
3.14Goals against per game3.17
2.58Expected goals against per game2.84
4.0High-danger chances against per game4.1
27.7Shots against per game30.0
The shorter bar is the better defence here. Every row is what the club concedes, so these read the opposite way to the panel beside them.
Previous meetings
Where
H-E-B Center at Cedar Park, Cedar Park, TX
The shot map, the expected-goals race and the period splits all fill in as this game is played.