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Saturday, October 3

Milwaukee Admirals at Rockford IceHogs

BMO Center · Rockford, IL

Milwaukee Admirals
8:00 PM
Saturday, October 3
Rockford IceHogs

Before puck drop

Win probabilityprojected
55%45%

Projected from each club’s goal differential to date, shrunk toward league average so an early hot start does not read as dominance, plus home ice. Once the puck drops this becomes the live win probability, with deserve-to-win marked across it.

Season to date

Milwaukee Admirals
32337
71 points in 72 games
12–24 on the road
Rockford IceHogs
28395
61 points in 72 games
12–24 at home

Neither club has played yet this season, so everything here is how 2025-26 finished.

What they create

2.86Goals per game2.72
2.58Expected goals per game2.51
3.9High-danger chances per game4.2
27.7Shots per game26.8

What they allow

3.07Goals against per game3.40
2.63Expected goals against per game2.85
4.1High-danger chances against per game4.7
29.0Shots against per game30.7

The shorter bar is the better defence here. Every row is what the club concedes, so these read the opposite way to the panel beside them.

Where

BMO Center, Rockford, IL

The shot map, the expected-goals race and the period splits all fill in as this game is played.