Bakersfield Condors at Henderson Silver Knights

Lee’s Family Forum · Henderson, NV

Bakersfield Condors

9:00 PM

Saturday, October 3

Henderson Silver Knights

Before puck drop

Win probabilityprojected

56%44%

Projected from each club’s goal differential to date, shrunk toward league average so an early hot start does not read as dominance, plus home ice. Once the puck drops this becomes the live win probability, with deserve-to-win marked across it.

Season to date

Bakersfield Condors

372312

86 points in 72 games

12–24 on the road

Henderson Silver Knights

392112

90 points in 72 games

22–14 at home

Neither club has played yet this season, so everything here is how 2025-26 finished.

What they create

3.39Goals per game3.65

2.80Expected goals per game3.17

4.7High-danger chances per game5.7

27.7Shots per game30.7

What they allow

3.28Goals against per game3.13

3.15Expected goals against per game2.69

5.0High-danger chances against per game4.1

30.8Shots against per game27.8

The shorter bar is the better defence here. Every row is what the club concedes, so these read the opposite way to the panel beside them.

Previous meetings

Where

Lee’s Family Forum, Henderson, NV

The shot map, the expected-goals race and the period splits all fill in as this game is played.