Hartford Wolf Pack7:05 PM
Friday, October 9
Providence BruinsBefore puck drop
38%62%
Projected from each club’s goal differential to date, shrunk toward league average so an early hot start does not read as dominance, plus home ice. Once the puck drops this becomes the live win probability, with deserve-to-win marked across it.
Season to date
Hartford Wolf Pack26388
60 points in 72 games
15–21 on the road
Providence Bruins54162
110 points in 72 games
27–9 at home
Neither club has played yet this season, so everything here is how 2025-26 finished.
What they create
2.64Goals per game3.32
2.62Expected goals per game2.79
3.8High-danger chances per game4.2
28.1Shots per game29.8
What they allow
3.51Goals against per game2.25
2.78Expected goals against per game2.56
4.2High-danger chances against per game3.4
27.8Shots against per game27.9
The shorter bar is the better defence here. Every row is what the club concedes, so these read the opposite way to the panel beside them.
Previous meetings
Where
Amica Mutual Pavilion, Providence, RI
The shot map, the expected-goals race and the period splits all fill in as this game is played.