Rockford IceHogs at Iowa Wild

Casey’s Center · Des Moines, IA

Rockford IceHogs

8:00 PM

Friday, October 9

Iowa Wild

Before puck drop

Win probabilityprojected

43%57%

Projected from each club’s goal differential to date, shrunk toward league average so an early hot start does not read as dominance, plus home ice. Once the puck drops this becomes the live win probability, with deserve-to-win marked across it.

Season to date

Rockford IceHogs

28395

61 points in 72 games

16–20 on the road

Iowa Wild

27369

63 points in 72 games

11–25 at home

Neither club has played yet this season, so everything here is how 2025-26 finished.

What they create

2.72Goals per game2.49

2.51Expected goals per game2.49

4.2High-danger chances per game3.8

26.8Shots per game27.2

What they allow

3.40Goals against per game3.14

2.85Expected goals against per game2.58

4.7High-danger chances against per game4.0

30.7Shots against per game27.7

The shorter bar is the better defence here. Every row is what the club concedes, so these read the opposite way to the panel beside them.

Previous meetings

Where

Casey’s Center, Des Moines, IA

The shot map, the expected-goals race and the period splits all fill in as this game is played.