Rochester Americans at Syracuse Crunch

Upstate Medical University Arena · Syracuse, NY

Rochester Americans

7:00 PM

Friday, October 23

Syracuse Crunch

Before puck drop

Win probabilityprojected

38%62%

Projected from each club’s goal differential to date, shrunk toward league average so an early hot start does not read as dominance, plus home ice. Once the puck drops this becomes the live win probability, with deserve-to-win marked across it.

Season to date

Rochester Americans

313110

72 points in 72 games

16–20 on the road

Syracuse Crunch

41247

89 points in 72 games

23–13 at home

Neither club has played yet this season, so everything here is how 2025-26 finished.

What they create

2.97Goals per game3.29

2.69Expected goals per game2.96

4.1High-danger chances per game5.0

29.2Shots per game27.9

What they allow

3.26Goals against per game2.63

2.71Expected goals against per game2.46

4.4High-danger chances against per game3.5

28.9Shots against per game25.4

The shorter bar is the better defence here. Every row is what the club concedes, so these read the opposite way to the panel beside them.

Previous meetings

Where

Upstate Medical University Arena, Syracuse, NY

The shot map, the expected-goals race and the period splits all fill in as this game is played.