Ontario Reign at Texas Stars

H-E-B Center at Cedar Park · Cedar Park, TX

Ontario Reign

8:00 PM

Saturday, October 24

Texas Stars

Before puck drop

Win probabilityprojected

53%47%

Projected from each club’s goal differential to date, shrunk toward league average so an early hot start does not read as dominance, plus home ice. Once the puck drops this becomes the live win probability, with deserve-to-win marked across it.

Season to date

Ontario Reign

47205

99 points in 72 games

21–15 on the road

Texas Stars

37296

80 points in 72 games

19–17 at home

Neither club has played yet this season, so everything here is how 2025-26 finished.

What they create

3.29Goals per game3.08

2.72Expected goals per game2.58

4.4High-danger chances per game4.1

26.0Shots per game26.9

What they allow

2.60Goals against per game3.17

2.46Expected goals against per game2.84

3.6High-danger chances against per game4.1

26.0Shots against per game30.0

The shorter bar is the better defence here. Every row is what the club concedes, so these read the opposite way to the panel beside them.

Previous meetings

Where

H-E-B Center at Cedar Park, Cedar Park, TX

The shot map, the expected-goals race and the period splits all fill in as this game is played.