Ontario Reign10:00 PM
Wednesday, October 28
Henderson Silver KnightsBefore puck drop
59%41%
Projected from each club’s goal differential to date, shrunk toward league average so an early hot start does not read as dominance, plus home ice. Once the puck drops this becomes the live win probability, with deserve-to-win marked across it.
Season to date
Ontario Reign47205
99 points in 72 games
21–15 on the road
Henderson Silver Knights392112
90 points in 72 games
22–14 at home
Neither club has played yet this season, so everything here is how 2025-26 finished.
What they create
3.29Goals per game3.65
2.72Expected goals per game3.17
4.4High-danger chances per game5.7
26.0Shots per game30.7
What they allow
2.60Goals against per game3.13
2.46Expected goals against per game2.69
3.6High-danger chances against per game4.1
26.0Shots against per game27.8
The shorter bar is the better defence here. Every row is what the club concedes, so these read the opposite way to the panel beside them.
Previous meetings
Where
Lee’s Family Forum, Henderson, NV
The shot map, the expected-goals race and the period splits all fill in as this game is played.