Hershey Bears at Toronto Marlies

Coca-Cola Coliseum · Toronto, ON

Hershey Bears

7:00 PM

Friday, October 30

Toronto Marlies

Before puck drop

Win probabilityprojected

45%55%

Projected from each club’s goal differential to date, shrunk toward league average so an early hot start does not read as dominance, plus home ice. Once the puck drops this becomes the live win probability, with deserve-to-win marked across it.

Season to date

Hershey Bears

32319

73 points in 72 games

18–18 on the road

Toronto Marlies

362610

82 points in 72 games

21–15 at home

Neither club has played yet this season, so everything here is how 2025-26 finished.

What they create

2.92Goals per game3.18

2.55Expected goals per game2.50

4.0High-danger chances per game4.0

26.5Shots per game26.0

What they allow

3.19Goals against per game3.17

2.88Expected goals against per game2.71

4.3High-danger chances against per game4.1

30.2Shots against per game29.0

The shorter bar is the better defence here. Every row is what the club concedes, so these read the opposite way to the panel beside them.

Previous meetings

Where

Coca-Cola Coliseum, Toronto, ON

The shot map, the expected-goals race and the period splits all fill in as this game is played.