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Saturday, November 28

Ontario Reign at Calgary Wranglers

Scotiabank Saddledome · Calgary, AB

Ontario Reign
7:00 PM
Saturday, November 28
Calgary Wranglers

Before puck drop

Win probabilityprojected
56%44%

Projected from each club’s goal differential to date, shrunk toward league average so an early hot start does not read as dominance, plus home ice. Once the puck drops this becomes the live win probability, with deserve-to-win marked across it.

Season to date

Ontario Reign
47205
99 points in 72 games
21–15 on the road
Calgary Wranglers
233415
61 points in 72 games
10–26 at home

Neither club has played yet this season, so everything here is how 2025-26 finished.

What they create

3.29Goals per game2.82
2.72Expected goals per game2.55
4.4High-danger chances per game4.0
26.0Shots per game27.3

What they allow

2.60Goals against per game3.74
2.46Expected goals against per game3.42
3.6High-danger chances against per game5.9
26.0Shots against per game32.5

The shorter bar is the better defence here. Every row is what the club concedes, so these read the opposite way to the panel beside them.

Where

Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary, AB

The shot map, the expected-goals race and the period splits all fill in as this game is played.