Hamilton Hammers at Rochester Americans

Projected from each club’s goal differential to date, shrunk toward league average so an early hot start does not read as dominance, plus home ice. Once the puck drops this becomes the live win probability, with deserve-to-win marked across it.

Season to date

Hamilton Hammers

—

First season in the league

No games on file

Rochester Americans

31–31–10

72 points in 72 games

15–21 at home

Hamilton Hammers has no league record yet, so there is nothing to set the other club against.