Syracuse Crunch7:00 PM
Tuesday, December 29
Toronto MarliesBefore puck drop
46%54%
Projected from each club’s goal differential to date, shrunk toward league average so an early hot start does not read as dominance, plus home ice. Once the puck drops this becomes the live win probability, with deserve-to-win marked across it.
Season to date
Syracuse Crunch41247
89 points in 72 games
18–18 on the road
Toronto Marlies362610
82 points in 72 games
21–15 at home
Neither club has played yet this season, so everything here is how 2025-26 finished.
What they create
3.29Goals per game3.18
2.96Expected goals per game2.50
5.0High-danger chances per game4.0
27.9Shots per game26.0
What they allow
2.63Goals against per game3.17
2.46Expected goals against per game2.71
3.5High-danger chances against per game4.1
25.4Shots against per game29.0
The shorter bar is the better defence here. Every row is what the club concedes, so these read the opposite way to the panel beside them.
Previous meetings
Where
Coca-Cola Coliseum, Toronto, ON
The shot map, the expected-goals race and the period splits all fill in as this game is played.