Providence Bruins8:00 PM
Wednesday, March 24
Rockford IceHogsBefore puck drop
62%38%
Projected from each club’s goal differential to date, shrunk toward league average so an early hot start does not read as dominance, plus home ice. Once the puck drops this becomes the live win probability, with deserve-to-win marked across it.
Season to date
Providence Bruins54162
110 points in 72 games
27–9 on the road
Rockford IceHogs28395
61 points in 72 games
12–24 at home
Neither club has played yet this season, so everything here is how 2025-26 finished.
What they create
3.32Goals per game2.72
2.79Expected goals per game2.51
4.2High-danger chances per game4.2
29.8Shots per game26.8
What they allow
2.25Goals against per game3.40
2.56Expected goals against per game2.85
3.4High-danger chances against per game4.7
27.9Shots against per game30.7
The shorter bar is the better defence here. Every row is what the club concedes, so these read the opposite way to the panel beside them.
Previous meetings
These two have not met in 2025-26. This is the first look.
Where
BMO Center, Rockford, IL
The shot map, the expected-goals race and the period splits all fill in as this game is played.