AHLDashboard
Tuesday, June 2

Colorado Eagles at Chicago Wolves

Allstate Arena · Rosemont, IL

Colorado Eagles
3:2
Final
Chicago Wolves

The sheet

COLCHISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
46%54%
xG
3.02.9
High danger
34
Chances
810
Shots
3930

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CHI above the lineCOL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 39% CHI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

39Shots on goal30
8Scoring chances10
3High-danger chances4
3.02Expected goals2.90

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st18451211.50.3
2nd111834120.91.8
3rd10805010.70.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CHI0:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CHI119:09 of the 3rd0:510:51+0.018 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
39
Saves
36
Allowed
3
xGA
3.02
GSAx
+0.02
Shots faced
30
Saves
28
Allowed
2
xGA
2.90
GSAx
+0.90

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 9:45Chase Bradley (1–0)medium · 18 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 1st 12:44Penalty
  • 1st 12:44Penalty
  • 1st 15:32Penalty
  • 1st 19:14Penalty
  • 1st 19:14Penalty
  • 2nd 5:56Penalty
  • 2nd 9:05Penalty
  • 2nd 17:14Tye Felhaber (2–0)medium · 28 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 2nd 19:15Penalty
  • 3rd 0:31Domenick Fensore (2–1)4v5 · medium · 31 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 3rd 3:22Penalty
  • 3rd 9:06Cal Foote (2–2)medium · 26 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 3rd 19:09Ivan Ivan (3–2)low · 52 ft · beat Cayden Primeau