AHLDashboard
Sunday, June 7

Chicago Wolves at Colorado Eagles

Blue Federal Credit Union Arena · Loveland, CO

Chicago Wolves
3:2
Final
Colorado Eagles

The sheet

CHICOLSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
7%93%
xG
1.54.0
High danger
19
Chances
320
Shots
2638

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
COL above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 66% COL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal38
3Scoring chances20
1High-danger chances9
1.46Expected goals4.03

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st71519030.31.6
2nd111217040.61.5
3rd81114120.60.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

COL−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
COL116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
38
Saves
36
Allowed
2
xGA
4.03
GSAx
+2.03
Shots faced
26
Saves
23
Allowed
3
xGA
1.46
GSAx
-1.54

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:21Penalty
  • 1st 5:08Penalty
  • 1st 6:09Jack Ahcan (0–1)5v4 · medium · 33 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 1st 19:14Valtteri Puustinen (0–2)high · 11 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 2nd 1:52Penalty
  • 2nd 2:07Juuso Välimäki (1–2)5v4 · low · 36 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 2nd 5:48Penalty
  • 2nd 5:51Penalty
  • 3rd 3:41Penalty
  • 3rd 8:37Penalty
  • 3rd 12:57Joel Nyström (2–2)low · 31 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 3rd 15:46Ronan Seeley (3–2)low · 68 ft · beat Trent Miner