AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, October 12

Charlotte Checkers at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

Mohegan Arena at Casey Plaza · Wilkes-Barre, PA

Charlotte Checkers
7:6
Final
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

The sheet

CLTWBSSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
48%52%
xG
3.63.8
High danger
57
Chances
1415
Shots
3837

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
WBS above the lineCLT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% WBS.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

38Shots on goal37
14Scoring chances15
5High-danger chances7
3.61Expected goals3.84

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–151–50–40.4–1.6
2nd17–148–63–21.9–1.4
3rd13–85–42–11.3–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

WBS−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
WBS215:09 of the 3rd4:514:51+0.023 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Filip Larsson
Shots faced
38
Saves
31
Allowed
7
xGA
3.61
GSAx
-3.39
Chris Driedger
Shots faced
37
Saves
31
Allowed
6
xGA
3.84
GSAx
-2.16

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:34Jaycob Megna (1–0)low · 59 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 1st 7:53Jimmy Huntington (1–1)low · 27 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 1st 9:29Penalty
  • 1st 18:25Emil Bemström (1–2)high · 8 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 1st 19:09Penalty
  • 2nd 1:49Penalty
  • 2nd 2:11MacKenzie Entwistle (2–2)4v5 · medium · 30 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 2nd 5:52Avery Hayes (2–3)high · 15 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 2nd 11:57Aidan McDonough (3–3)medium · 22 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 2nd 12:20Penalty
  • 2nd 14:40Tristan Broz (3–4)low · 52 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 2nd 17:07Penalty
  • 3rd 0:03Penalty
  • 3rd 0:51Filip Král (3–5)5v4 · low · 30 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 3rd 1:07Penalty
  • 3rd 2:44Trevor Carrick (4–5)5v4 · medium · 11 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 3rd 5:13Penalty
  • 3rd 6:26Rasmus Asplund (5–5)4v5 · low · 27 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 3rd 7:37Aidan McDonough (6–5)medium · 12 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 3rd 8:11Penalty
  • 3rd 9:28Penalty
  • 3rd 15:09Aidan McDonough (7–5)high · rebound · 27 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 3rd 19:38Marc Johnstone (7–6)high · 9 ft · beat Chris Driedger