AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, October 26

Syracuse Crunch at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

Mohegan Arena at Casey Plaza · Wilkes-Barre, PA

Syracuse Crunch
2:3
Final
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

The sheet

SYRWBSSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
64%36%
xG
3.52.8
High danger
52
Chances
1011
Shots
3427

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
WBS above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% WBS.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

34Shots on goal27
10Scoring chances11
5High-danger chances2
3.55Expected goals2.78

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–101–31–10.5–1.0
2nd15–125–61–11.6–1.3
3rd12–54–23–01.4–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SYR−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SYR116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Tristan Jarry
Shots faced
34
Saves
32
Allowed
2
xGA
3.55
GSAx
+1.55
Matt Tomkins
Shots faced
27
Saves
24
Allowed
3
xGA
2.78
GSAx
-0.22

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 11:42Penalty
  • 1st 16:57Penalty
  • 2nd 5:09Sam Poulin (0–1)low · wrist · 36 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 2nd 5:45Penalty
  • 2nd 9:28Penalty
  • 2nd 9:59Avery Hayes (0–2)5v4 · medium · 17 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 2nd 11:58Steven Santini (1–2)low · slap · 60 ft · beat Tristan Jarry
  • 2nd 14:33Penalty
  • 2nd 19:32Penalty
  • 2nd 19:59Tristan Broz (1–3)5v4 · medium · snap · 30 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 3rd 1:21Gemel Smith (2–3)high · tip · rebound · 9 ft · beat Tristan Jarry
  • 3rd 3:42Penalty
  • 3rd 6:31Penalty
  • 3rd 9:14Penalty
  • 3rd 9:14Penalty
  • 3rd 9:14Penalty
  • 3rd 18:41Penalty
  • 3rd 19:16Penalty