AHLDashboard
Friday, November 29

Laval Rocket at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

Mohegan Arena at Casey Plaza · Wilkes-Barre, PA

Laval Rocket
3:5
Final
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

The sheet

LAVWBSSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
64%36%
xG
3.42.2
High danger
65
Chances
127
Shots
3220

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
WBS above the lineLAV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% WBS.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal20
12Scoring chances7
6High-danger chances5
3.43Expected goals2.21

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st16563221.50.8
2nd11653431.60.7
3rd5911000.30.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LAV−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LAV212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
32
Saves
29
Allowed
3
xGA
3.43
GSAx
+0.43
Shots faced
20
Saves
15
Allowed
5
xGA
2.21
GSAx
-2.79

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:44Penalty
  • 1st 16:01Josh Jacobs (1–0)medium · 21 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 1st 16:46Penalty
  • 1st 18:27Sam Poulin (1–1)5v4 · grade A · snap · rebound · 27 ft · beat Connor Hughes
  • 1st 19:58Alex Barré-Boulet (2–1)high · tip · 7 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 2nd 5:07Penalty
  • 2nd 5:59Jared Davidson (3–1)5v4 · low · wrist · 43 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 2nd 7:48Penalty
  • 2nd 7:48Penalty
  • 2nd 10:50Penalty
  • 2nd 10:50Penalty
  • 2nd 15:06Penalty
  • 2nd 15:34Boris Katchouk (3–2)5v4 · high · backhand · 11 ft · beat Connor Hughes
  • 2nd 16:34Penalty
  • 2nd 16:47Penalty
  • 2nd 19:15Penalty
  • 3rd 0:34Ville Koivunen (3–3)5v4 · low · slap · 55 ft · beat Connor Hughes
  • 3rd 5:05Nikolai Knyzhov (3–4)low · wrist · 57 ft · beat Connor Hughes
  • 3rd 8:06Penalty
  • 3rd 8:06Penalty
  • 3rd 8:06Penalty
  • 3rd 9:39Penalty
  • 3rd 11:48Joona Koppanen (3–5)medium · snap · 25 ft · beat Connor Hughes