AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, December 6

Bridgeport Islanders at Springfield Thunderbirds

MassMutual Center · Springfield, MA

Bridgeport Islanders
4:5
Final / OT
Springfield Thunderbirds

The sheet

BRISPRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
50%50%
xG
4.53.5
High danger
96
Chances
1815
Shots
3837

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SPR above the lineBRI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% SPR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

38Shots on goal37
18Scoring chances15
9High-danger chances6
4.49Expected goals3.47

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–142–51–10.4–1.0
2nd15–168–94–52.0–1.9
3rd18–38–14–02.1–0.2
OT0–40–00–00.0–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Colten Ellis
Shots faced
38
Saves
34
Allowed
4
xGA
4.49
GSAx
+0.49
Jakub Skarek
Shots faced
37
Saves
32
Allowed
5
xGA
3.47
GSAx
-1.53

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 8:02Penalty
  • 1st 9:26Tyler Tucker (0–1)5v4 · low · 59 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 1st 9:37Penalty
  • 2nd 2:12Penalty
  • 2nd 3:20Chris Terry (1–1)5v4 · high · 14 ft · beat Colten Ellis
  • 2nd 6:08Penalty
  • 2nd 6:08Penalty
  • 2nd 6:15William Dufour (2–1)high · 16 ft · beat Colten Ellis
  • 2nd 6:43Matthew Peca (2–2)medium · 7 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 7:46Alex Jefferies (3–2)low · 32 ft · beat Colten Ellis
  • 2nd 9:08Penalty
  • 2nd 13:19Penalty
  • 2nd 14:00Penalty
  • 2nd 14:56Dalibor Dvorský (3–3)5v4 · high · 40 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 15:33Tyler Tucker (3–4)5v4 · low · 51 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 15:48Penalty
  • 2nd 19:02Penalty
  • 3rd 2:04Penalty
  • 3rd 6:49Liam Foudy (4–4)grade A · rebound · 5 ft · beat Colten Ellis
  • 3rd 10:42Penalty
  • OT 2:47Dylan Peterson (4–5)low · 32 ft · beat Jakub Skarek