AHLDashboard
Wednesday, December 11

Charlotte Checkers at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

Mohegan Arena at Casey Plaza · Wilkes-Barre, PA

Charlotte Checkers
4:6
Final
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

The sheet

CLTWBSSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
52%48%
xG
4.43.4
High danger
57
Chances
1413
Shots
4224

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
WBS above the lineCLT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% WBS.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

42Shots on goal24
14Scoring chances13
5High-danger chances7
4.42Expected goals3.44

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st15672411.71.0
2nd15652101.80.5
3rd121229060.92.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLT−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLT38:43 of the 3rd11:1711:17+0.016 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
42
Saves
38
Allowed
4
xGA
4.43
GSAx
+0.43
Shots faced
24
Saves
18
Allowed
6
xGA
3.44
GSAx
-2.56

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:02Penalty
  • 1st 12:41Boris Katchouk (0–1)grade A · 44 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 2nd 3:33Penalty
  • 2nd 6:30Penalty
  • 2nd 7:55Zac Dalpe (1–1)5v4 · medium · wrist · 37 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 2nd 8:49Mikulas Hovorka (2–1)low · wrist · 61 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 2nd 8:58Penalty
  • 2nd 8:58Penalty
  • 2nd 12:01Penalty
  • 2nd 14:27Penalty
  • 2nd 17:31Penalty
  • 3rd 3:43Tristan Broz (2–2)grade A · wrist · rebound · 24 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 3rd 5:23Boris Katchouk (2–3)grade A · tip · rebound · 10 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 3rd 6:38Penalty
  • 3rd 6:38Penalty
  • 3rd 6:38Bokondji Imama (2–4)high · wrist · 19 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 3rd 8:21Penalty
  • 3rd 8:43Boris Katchouk (2–5)5v4 · high · snap · 19 ft · beat Chris Driedger
  • 3rd 17:02Wilmer Skoog (3–5)medium · snap · 12 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 3rd 18:31John Leonard (4–5)low · slap · 17 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 3rd 19:32Boris Katchouk (4–6)empty net · high · wrist · 12 ft · beat Chris Driedger