AHLDashboard
Saturday, December 21

Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

Mohegan Arena at Casey Plaza · Wilkes-Barre, PA

Lehigh Valley Phantoms
2:7
Final
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

The sheet

LVWBSSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
25%75%
xG
2.93.8
High danger
412
Chances
915
Shots
3130

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
WBS above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% WBS.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal30
9Scoring chances15
4High-danger chances12
2.86Expected goals3.80

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st71113110.50.8
2nd16957271.51.7
3rd81035140.81.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LV−40:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LV40:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
31
Saves
29
Allowed
2
xGA
2.86
GSAx
+0.86
Shots faced
30
Saves
23
Allowed
7
xGA
3.80
GSAx
-3.20

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 9:49Penalty
  • 1st 10:06Emil Bemström (0–1)5v4 · medium · slap · 45 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 1st 13:16Penalty
  • 1st 15:01Tristan Broz (0–2)5v4 · high · tip · 26 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 2nd 1:55Penalty
  • 2nd 2:41Boris Katchouk (0–3)4v5 · high · backhand · 11 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 2nd 3:35Massimo Rizzo (1–3)5v4 · medium · wrist · 60 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 2nd 4:55Penalty
  • 2nd 5:20Penalty
  • 2nd 10:16Penalty
  • 2nd 13:26Marc Johnstone (1–4)grade A · tip · rebound · 12 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 2nd 15:06Corey Andonovski (1–5)high · tip · 21 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 2nd 19:43Penalty
  • 2nd 19:43Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 5:58Penalty
  • 3rd 7:48Brendan Furry (2–5)4v5 · medium · backhand · 11 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 3rd 8:52Avery Hayes (2–6)high · tip · 11 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 3rd 10:36Penalty
  • 3rd 10:36Penalty
  • 3rd 10:36Penalty
  • 3rd 10:36Penalty
  • 3rd 11:08Penalty
  • 3rd 11:08Penalty
  • 3rd 11:08Penalty
  • 3rd 11:08Penalty
  • 3rd 11:08Penalty
  • 3rd 11:08Penalty
  • 3rd 11:08Penalty
  • 3rd 11:08Penalty
  • 3rd 11:08Penalty
  • 3rd 11:17Penalty
  • 3rd 11:17Penalty
  • 3rd 14:44Penalty
  • 3rd 16:30Penalty
  • 3rd 16:30Penalty
  • 3rd 16:30Ville Koivunen (2–7)5v4 · high · tip · 12 ft · beat Parker Gahagen