AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, December 27

Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

Mohegan Arena at Casey Plaza · Wilkes-Barre, PA

Lehigh Valley Phantoms
2:3
Final
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

The sheet

LVWBSSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
26%74%
xG
2.33.0
High danger
26
Chances
613
Shots
3130

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
WBS above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% WBS.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal30
6Scoring chances13
2High-danger chances6
2.27Expected goals3.03

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–121–30–20.7–1.2
2nd11–63–41–00.9–0.6
3rd10–122–61–40.7–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LV−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LV116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Filip Larsson
Shots faced
31
Saves
29
Allowed
2
xGA
2.27
GSAx
+0.27
Cal Petersen
Shots faced
30
Saves
27
Allowed
3
xGA
3.03
GSAx
+0.03

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:17Garrett Wilson (1–0)low · snap · 26 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 1st 7:25Penalty
  • 1st 14:03Penalty
  • 1st 17:20Tristan Broz (1–1)grade A · tip · rebound · 12 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 2:03Tristan Broz (1–2)low · wrist · 26 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 3:35Penalty
  • 2nd 11:01Penalty
  • 2nd 17:56Penalty
  • 3rd 0:43Vasily Ponomarev (1–3)high · wrist · rebound · 50 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 3rd 2:30Ethan Samson (2–3)low · wrist · 65 ft · beat Filip Larsson
  • 3rd 7:03Penalty
  • 3rd 10:36Penalty
  • 3rd 13:30Penalty
  • 3rd 13:30Penalty
  • 3rd 13:30Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty