AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, March 16

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Lehigh Valley Phantoms

PPL Center · Allentown, PA

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
5:3
Final
Lehigh Valley Phantoms

The sheet

WBSLVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
80%20%
xG
2.41.9
High danger
51
Chances
95
Shots
2226

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LV above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% LV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

22Shots on goal26
9Scoring chances5
5High-danger chances1
2.37Expected goals1.90

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–84–21–00.9–0.5
2nd6–111–31–10.5–1.0
3rd8–74–03–00.9–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LV−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LV116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Sergei Murashov
Shots faced
26
Saves
23
Allowed
3
xGA
1.90
GSAx
-1.10
Aleksei Kolosov
Shots faced
22
Saves
17
Allowed
5
xGA
2.37
GSAx
-2.63

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:11Penalty
  • 1st 2:57Tristan Broz (1–0)5v4 · medium · 25 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
  • 1st 3:03Penalty
  • 1st 3:21Joona Koppanen (2–0)4v5 · high · 13 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
  • 1st 5:05Ethan Samson (2–1)low · 60 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 1st 8:48Penalty
  • 1st 8:48Penalty
  • 1st 18:44Penalty
  • 2nd 0:42Penalty
  • 2nd 3:32Givani Smith (2–2)low · 12 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 2nd 14:15Penalty
  • 2nd 16:07Avery Hayes (3–2)5v4 · high · 10 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
  • 3rd 3:56Penalty
  • 3rd 4:16Penalty
  • 3rd 9:53Penalty
  • 3rd 9:54Nikita Grebenkin (3–3)5v4 · low · 13 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 3rd 12:22Penalty
  • 3rd 12:33Penalty
  • 3rd 16:24Valtteri Puustinen (4–3)high · tip · 10 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
  • 3rd 19:18Joona Koppanen (5–3)empty net · low · 34 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov