AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, April 25

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Lehigh Valley Phantoms

PPL Center · Allentown, PA

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
2:3
Final
Lehigh Valley Phantoms

The sheet

WBSLVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
42%58%
xG
2.52.8
High danger
13
Chances
96
Shots
3331

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LV above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% LV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

33Shots on goal31
9Scoring chances6
1High-danger chances3
2.53Expected goals2.82

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–123–10–00.8–0.8
2nd16–103–11–11.3–0.7
3rd6–93–40–20.5–1.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

WBS−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
WBS118:00 of the 3rd2:002:00+0.046 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Parker Gahagen
Shots faced
33
Saves
31
Allowed
2
xGA
2.53
GSAx
+0.53
Sergei Murashov
Shots faced
31
Saves
28
Allowed
3
xGA
2.82
GSAx
-0.18

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 8:17Penalty
  • 1st 14:52Penalty
  • 2nd 4:50Penalty
  • 2nd 8:14Penalty
  • 2nd 10:28Penalty
  • 2nd 14:33Anthony Richard (0–1)high · 13 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 2nd 17:43Penalty
  • 2nd 19:35Tristan Broz (1–1)5v4 · medium · 35 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 3rd 1:06Penalty
  • 3rd 1:09Penalty
  • 3rd 6:26Harrison Brunicke (2–1)low · 39 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 3rd 7:54Jacob Gaucher (2–2)grade A · rebound · 17 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 3rd 13:45Penalty
  • 3rd 14:25Penalty
  • 3rd 18:00Helge Grans (2–3)grade A · backhand · rebound · 30 ft · beat Sergei Murashov