AHLDashboard
‹ Thursday, May 1

Abbotsford Canucks at Coachella Valley Firebirds

Acrisure Arena · Palm Desert, CA

Abbotsford Canucks
3:1
Final
Coachella Valley Firebirds

The sheet

ABBCVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
69%31%
xG
2.22.0
High danger
41
Chances
75
Shots
2830

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.52P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CV above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% CV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal30
7Scoring chances5
4High-danger chances1
2.17Expected goals1.99

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st14–84–32–11.1–0.5
2nd10–113–12–00.8–0.6
3rd4–110–10–00.2–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CV−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CV212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Artūrs Šilovs
Shots faced
30
Saves
29
Allowed
1
xGA
1.99
GSAx
+0.99
Nikke Kokko
Shots faced
28
Saves
25
Allowed
3
xGA
2.17
GSAx
-0.83

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:36Ryan Winterton (0–1)low · 48 ft · beat Artūrs Šilovs
  • 1st 2:13Penalty
  • 1st 9:26Jett Woo (1–1)medium · 13 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 1st 10:31Danila Klimovich (2–1)high · 14 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 1st 16:45Guillaume Brisebois (3–1)low · 23 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 1st 18:53Penalty
  • 2nd 7:34Penalty
  • 2nd 9:47Penalty
  • 2nd 9:47Penalty
  • 3rd 5:05Penalty