Ontario Reign10:00 PM
Friday, October 2
Coachella Valley FirebirdsBefore puck drop
50%50%
Projected from each club’s goal differential to date, shrunk toward league average so an early hot start does not read as dominance, plus home ice. Once the puck drops this becomes the live win probability, with deserve-to-win marked across it.
Season to date
Ontario Reign47205
99 points in 72 games
21–15 on the road
Coachella Valley Firebirds41256
88 points in 72 games
19–17 at home
Neither club has played yet this season, so everything here is how 2025-26 finished.
What they create
3.29Goals per game3.26
2.72Expected goals per game2.85
4.4High-danger chances per game4.4
26.0Shots per game29.5
What they allow
2.60Goals against per game3.03
2.46Expected goals against per game3.01
3.6High-danger chances against per game4.8
26.0Shots against per game30.9
The shorter bar is the better defence here. Every row is what the club concedes, so these read the opposite way to the panel beside them.
Previous meetings
Where
Acrisure Arena, Palm Desert, CA
The shot map, the expected-goals race and the period splits all fill in as this game is played.