Coachella Valley Firebirds9:00 PM
Saturday, October 3
Ontario ReignBefore puck drop
46%54%
Projected from each club’s goal differential to date, shrunk toward league average so an early hot start does not read as dominance, plus home ice. Once the puck drops this becomes the live win probability, with deserve-to-win marked across it.
Season to date
Coachella Valley Firebirds41256
88 points in 72 games
22–14 on the road
Ontario Reign47205
99 points in 72 games
26–10 at home
Neither club has played yet this season, so everything here is how 2025-26 finished.
What they create
3.26Goals per game3.29
2.85Expected goals per game2.72
4.4High-danger chances per game4.4
29.5Shots per game26.0
What they allow
3.03Goals against per game2.60
3.01Expected goals against per game2.46
4.8High-danger chances against per game3.6
30.9Shots against per game26.0
The shorter bar is the better defence here. Every row is what the club concedes, so these read the opposite way to the panel beside them.
Previous meetings
Where
Toyota Arena, Ontario, CA
The shot map, the expected-goals race and the period splits all fill in as this game is played.