Tucson Roadrunners10:00 PM
Friday, October 9
San Jose BarracudaBefore puck drop
40%60%
Projected from each club’s goal differential to date, shrunk toward league average so an early hot start does not read as dominance, plus home ice. Once the puck drops this becomes the live win probability, with deserve-to-win marked across it.
Season to date
Tucson Roadrunners342810
78 points in 72 games
18–18 on the road
San Jose Barracuda40284
84 points in 72 games
22–14 at home
Neither club has played yet this season, so everything here is how 2025-26 finished.
What they create
3.19Goals per game3.38
2.80Expected goals per game3.19
4.3High-danger chances per game4.8
28.5Shots per game33.2
What they allow
3.32Goals against per game3.19
2.90Expected goals against per game2.83
4.7High-danger chances against per game4.6
28.8Shots against per game28.2
The shorter bar is the better defence here. Every row is what the club concedes, so these read the opposite way to the panel beside them.
Previous meetings
Where
Tech CU Arena, San Jose, CA
The shot map, the expected-goals race and the period splits all fill in as this game is played.