San Diego Gulls10:00 PM
Friday, October 9
Coachella Valley FirebirdsBefore puck drop
42%58%
Projected from each club’s goal differential to date, shrunk toward league average so an early hot start does not read as dominance, plus home ice. Once the puck drops this becomes the live win probability, with deserve-to-win marked across it.
Season to date
San Diego Gulls332712
78 points in 72 games
17–19 on the road
Coachella Valley Firebirds41256
88 points in 72 games
19–17 at home
Neither club has played yet this season, so everything here is how 2025-26 finished.
What they create
3.11Goals per game3.26
3.07Expected goals per game2.85
4.8High-danger chances per game4.4
31.6Shots per game29.5
What they allow
3.17Goals against per game3.03
2.60Expected goals against per game3.01
4.1High-danger chances against per game4.8
27.5Shots against per game30.9
The shorter bar is the better defence here. Every row is what the club concedes, so these read the opposite way to the panel beside them.
Previous meetings
Where
Acrisure Arena, Palm Desert, CA
The shot map, the expected-goals race and the period splits all fill in as this game is played.