San Diego Gulls at Tucson Roadrunners

Tucson Convention Center Arena · Tucson, AZ

San Diego Gulls

10:00 PM

Saturday, October 17

Tucson Roadrunners

Before puck drop

Win probabilityprojected

49%51%

Projected from each club’s goal differential to date, shrunk toward league average so an early hot start does not read as dominance, plus home ice. Once the puck drops this becomes the live win probability, with deserve-to-win marked across it.

Season to date

San Diego Gulls

332712

78 points in 72 games

17–19 on the road

Tucson Roadrunners

342810

78 points in 72 games

16–20 at home

Neither club has played yet this season, so everything here is how 2025-26 finished.

What they create

3.11Goals per game3.19

3.07Expected goals per game2.80

4.8High-danger chances per game4.3

31.6Shots per game28.5

What they allow

3.17Goals against per game3.32

2.60Expected goals against per game2.90

4.1High-danger chances against per game4.7

27.5Shots against per game28.8

The shorter bar is the better defence here. Every row is what the club concedes, so these read the opposite way to the panel beside them.

Previous meetings

Where

Tucson Convention Center Arena, Tucson, AZ

The shot map, the expected-goals race and the period splits all fill in as this game is played.