Texas Stars7:00 PM
Wednesday, November 4
Grand Rapids GriffinsBefore puck drop
41%59%
Projected from each club’s goal differential to date, shrunk toward league average so an early hot start does not read as dominance, plus home ice. Once the puck drops this becomes the live win probability, with deserve-to-win marked across it.
Season to date
Texas Stars37296
80 points in 72 games
18–18 on the road
Grand Rapids Griffins51165
107 points in 72 games
24–12 at home
Neither club has played yet this season, so everything here is how 2025-26 finished.
What they create
3.08Goals per game3.54
2.58Expected goals per game2.78
4.1High-danger chances per game4.8
26.9Shots per game28.4
What they allow
3.17Goals against per game2.21
2.84Expected goals against per game2.50
4.1High-danger chances against per game4.0
30.0Shots against per game27.6
The shorter bar is the better defence here. Every row is what the club concedes, so these read the opposite way to the panel beside them.
Previous meetings
Where
Van Andel Arena, Grand Rapids, MI
The shot map, the expected-goals race and the period splits all fill in as this game is played.