Calgary Wranglers at Bakersfield Condors

Dignity Health Arena · Bakersfield, CA

Calgary Wranglers

9:40 PM

Tuesday, November 10

Bakersfield Condors

Before puck drop

Win probabilityprojected

41%59%

Projected from each club’s goal differential to date, shrunk toward league average so an early hot start does not read as dominance, plus home ice. Once the puck drops this becomes the live win probability, with deserve-to-win marked across it.

Season to date

Calgary Wranglers

233415

61 points in 72 games

13–23 on the road

Bakersfield Condors

372312

86 points in 72 games

25–11 at home

Neither club has played yet this season, so everything here is how 2025-26 finished.

What they create

2.82Goals per game3.39

2.55Expected goals per game2.80

4.0High-danger chances per game4.7

27.3Shots per game27.7

What they allow

3.74Goals against per game3.28

3.42Expected goals against per game3.15

5.9High-danger chances against per game5.0

32.5Shots against per game30.8

The shorter bar is the better defence here. Every row is what the club concedes, so these read the opposite way to the panel beside them.

Previous meetings

Where

Dignity Health Arena, Bakersfield, CA

The shot map, the expected-goals race and the period splits all fill in as this game is played.