Texas Stars6:00 PM
Sunday, November 15
Tucson RoadrunnersBefore puck drop
53%47%
Projected from each club’s goal differential to date, shrunk toward league average so an early hot start does not read as dominance, plus home ice. Once the puck drops this becomes the live win probability, with deserve-to-win marked across it.
Season to date
Texas Stars37296
80 points in 72 games
18–18 on the road
Tucson Roadrunners342810
78 points in 72 games
16–20 at home
Neither club has played yet this season, so everything here is how 2025-26 finished.
What they create
3.08Goals per game3.19
2.58Expected goals per game2.80
4.1High-danger chances per game4.3
26.9Shots per game28.5
What they allow
3.17Goals against per game3.32
2.84Expected goals against per game2.90
4.1High-danger chances against per game4.7
30.0Shots against per game28.8
The shorter bar is the better defence here. Every row is what the club concedes, so these read the opposite way to the panel beside them.
Previous meetings
These two have not met in 2025-26. This is the first look.
Where
Tucson Convention Center Arena, Tucson, AZ
The shot map, the expected-goals race and the period splits all fill in as this game is played.