Hershey Bears4:00 PM
Friday, November 27
Charlotte CheckersBefore puck drop
43%57%
Projected from each club’s goal differential to date, shrunk toward league average so an early hot start does not read as dominance, plus home ice. Once the puck drops this becomes the live win probability, with deserve-to-win marked across it.
Season to date
Hershey Bears32319
73 points in 72 games
18–18 on the road
Charlotte Checkers44235
93 points in 72 games
20–16 at home
Neither club has played yet this season, so everything here is how 2025-26 finished.
What they create
2.92Goals per game3.31
2.55Expected goals per game2.91
4.0High-danger chances per game4.4
26.5Shots per game29.8
What they allow
3.19Goals against per game2.60
2.88Expected goals against per game2.52
4.3High-danger chances against per game3.9
30.2Shots against per game24.9
The shorter bar is the better defence here. Every row is what the club concedes, so these read the opposite way to the panel beside them.
Previous meetings
Where
Bojangles Coliseum, Charlotte, NC
The shot map, the expected-goals race and the period splits all fill in as this game is played.