Bakersfield Condors8:00 PM
Tuesday, March 16
Manitoba MooseBefore puck drop
55%45%
Projected from each club’s goal differential to date, shrunk toward league average so an early hot start does not read as dominance, plus home ice. Once the puck drops this becomes the live win probability, with deserve-to-win marked across it.
Season to date
Bakersfield Condors372312
86 points in 72 games
12–24 on the road
Manitoba Moose35298
78 points in 72 games
18–18 at home
Neither club has played yet this season, so everything here is how 2025-26 finished.
What they create
3.39Goals per game2.57
2.80Expected goals per game2.77
4.7High-danger chances per game4.1
27.7Shots per game30.3
What they allow
3.28Goals against per game3.00
3.15Expected goals against per game2.69
5.0High-danger chances against per game4.3
30.8Shots against per game28.4
The shorter bar is the better defence here. Every row is what the club concedes, so these read the opposite way to the panel beside them.
Previous meetings
These two have not met in 2025-26. This is the first look.
Where
Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg, MB
The shot map, the expected-goals race and the period splits all fill in as this game is played.