AHLDashboard
Thursday, May 21

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Springfield Thunderbirds

MassMutual Center · Springfield, MA

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
0:2
Final
Springfield Thunderbirds

The sheet

WBSSPRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
12%88%
xG
1.22.4
High danger
02
Chances
38
Shots
2032

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SPR above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 48% SPR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

20Shots on goal32
3Scoring chances8
0High-danger chances2
1.16Expected goals2.41

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st71310000.40.6
2nd6723000.40.6
3rd71205020.31.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

WBS−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
WBS212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
32
Saves
30
Allowed
2
xGA
2.41
GSAx
+0.41
Shots faced
20
Saves
20
Allowed
0
xGA
1.16
GSAx
+1.16

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 9:10Penalty
  • 1st 9:10Penalty
  • 2nd 0:26Penalty
  • 2nd 8:39Penalty
  • 2nd 15:12Penalty
  • 2nd 16:14Dillon Dube (0–1)5v4 · medium · 37 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 3rd 6:48Marc-André Gaudet (0–2)high · rebound · 12 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 3rd 14:31Penalty