AHLDashboard
Friday, May 22

Cleveland Monsters at Toronto Marlies

Coca-Cola Coliseum · Toronto, ON

Cleveland Monsters
2:5
Final
Toronto Marlies

The sheet

CLETORSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
73%27%
xG
2.82.0
High danger
31
Chances
97
Shots
3826

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TOR above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 48% TOR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

38Shots on goal26
9Scoring chances7
3High-danger chances1
2.78Expected goals2.01

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st141123100.80.8
2nd12431110.90.4
3rd121143101.00.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLE−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLE34:45 of the 3rd15:1515:15+0.021 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
38
Saves
36
Allowed
2
xGA
2.78
GSAx
+0.78
Shots faced
26
Saves
21
Allowed
5
xGA
2.01
GSAx
-2.99

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:48Penalty
  • 1st 3:58Penalty
  • 1st 12:45Penalty
  • 1st 12:45Penalty
  • 1st 12:45Penalty
  • 1st 13:28Ryan Tverberg (0–1)5v4 · medium · 35 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 1st 15:03Penalty
  • 1st 15:03Penalty
  • 1st 18:44Penalty
  • 2nd 7:43Penalty
  • 2nd 16:07Penalty
  • 2nd 17:36Penalty
  • 2nd 17:36Penalty
  • 2nd 17:47Alex Nylander (0–2)5v4 · high · 13 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 2nd 18:16Penalty
  • 3rd 4:45Logan Shaw (0–3)low · 62 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 3rd 5:13Penalty
  • 3rd 12:53Jacob Quillan (0–4)medium · 33 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 3rd 17:21Jack Williams (1–4)medium · 10 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 3rd 18:22Ryan Tverberg (1–5)empty net · low · 29 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 3rd 18:49Penalty
  • 3rd 18:49Penalty
  • 3rd 18:49Penalty
  • 3rd 18:49Penalty
  • 3rd 18:49Penalty
  • 3rd 18:49Penalty
  • 3rd 18:59Luca Del Bel Belluz (2–5)5v4 · low · 30 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 3rd 19:10Penalty
  • 3rd 19:10Penalty
  • 3rd 19:10Penalty
  • 3rd 19:10Penalty
  • 3rd 19:10Penalty