AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, June 5

Colorado Eagles at Chicago Wolves

Allstate Arena · Rosemont, IL

Colorado Eagles
7:3
Final
Chicago Wolves

The sheet

COLCHISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
76%24%
xG
3.72.4
High danger
104
Chances
146
Shots
3129

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CHI above the lineCOL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 39% CHI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal29
14Scoring chances6
10High-danger chances4
3.71Expected goals2.37

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–124–32–20.9–1.0
2nd16–98–27–12.2–0.7
3rd7–82–11–10.6–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CHI−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CHI38:12 of the 3rd11:4811:48+0.017 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Trent Miner
Shots faced
29
Saves
26
Allowed
3
xGA
2.37
GSAx
-0.63
Cayden Primeau
Shots faced
27
Saves
20
Allowed
7
xGA
3.52
GSAx
-3.48
Amir Miftakhov
Shots faced
4
Saves
4
Allowed
0
xGA
0.19
GSAx
+0.19

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:03Skyler Brind’Amour (0–1)medium · 12 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 1st 9:28Penalty
  • 1st 9:51Justin Robidas (0–2)5v4 · grade A · 4 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 1st 11:13Tristen Nielsen (1–2)grade A · rebound · 6 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 1st 12:54Penalty
  • 1st 15:36Penalty
  • 1st 17:08Tristen Nielsen (2–2)5v4 · high · 16 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 2nd 3:00Bradly Nadeau (2–3)medium · 13 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 2nd 3:32Matt DiMarsico (3–3)high · 7 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 2nd 4:28Penalty
  • 2nd 5:46Taylor Makar (4–3)4v5 · low · 31 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 2nd 6:30Chase Bradley (5–3)low · 37 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 2nd 15:55Penalty
  • 2nd 16:22Penalty
  • 3rd 5:21Penalty
  • 3rd 8:12Alex Gagne (6–3)low · 57 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 3rd 9:11Penalty
  • 3rd 9:11Penalty
  • 3rd 11:18Penalty
  • 3rd 13:51Penalty
  • 3rd 13:51Penalty
  • 3rd 15:30Jason Polin (7–3)empty net · high · 18 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 3rd 18:57Penalty
  • 3rd 18:57Penalty