AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, June 14

Toronto Marlies at Chicago Wolves

Allstate Arena · Rosemont, IL

Toronto Marlies
5:4
Final / OT
Chicago Wolves

The sheet

TORCHISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
54%46%
xG
3.73.3
High danger
64
Chances
1210
Shots
3132

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CHI above the lineTOR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% CHI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal32
12Scoring chances10
6High-danger chances4
3.70Expected goals3.27

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–84–40–11.0–0.7
2nd10–126–24–01.8–0.9
3rd7–112–32–20.7–1.2
OT2–10–10–10.1–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CHI−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CHI116:56 of the 3rd3:042:47+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Artur Akhtyamov
Shots faced
32
Saves
28
Allowed
4
xGA
3.27
GSAx
-0.73
Cayden Primeau
Shots faced
31
Saves
26
Allowed
5
xGA
3.70
GSAx
-1.30

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:53Charles Alexis Legault (0–1)low · 58 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 1st 8:02Penalty
  • 1st 11:17Benoit-Olivier Groulx (1–1)low · 14 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 1st 14:32Penalty
  • 1st 15:40Noah Philp (1–2)5v4 · high · 13 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 1st 18:45Penalty
  • 1st 19:43Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 4:12Alex Nylander (2–2)grade A · rebound · 194 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 2nd 10:51Penalty
  • 2nd 13:32Penalty
  • 2nd 15:45Logan Shaw (3–2)high · 7 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 3rd 8:33Juuso Välimäki (3–3)grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 3rd 13:20Benoit-Olivier Groulx (4–3)high · 8 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 3rd 19:43Juuso Välimäki (4–4)high · 21 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • OT 3:46Logan Shaw (5–4)low · 10 ft · beat Cayden Primeau