AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, June 16

Chicago Wolves at Toronto Marlies

Coca-Cola Coliseum · Toronto, ON

Chicago Wolves
0:1
Final
Toronto Marlies

The sheet

CHITORSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
51%49%
xG
1.52.0
High danger
22
Chances
43
Shots
2428

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.52P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TOR above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% TOR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal28
4Scoring chances3
2High-danger chances2
1.52Expected goals2.01

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st13–52–01–00.7–0.2
2nd4–170–20–10.2–1.4
3rd7–62–11–10.6–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CHI−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CHI116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Cayden Primeau
Shots faced
28
Saves
27
Allowed
1
xGA
2.01
GSAx
+1.01
Artur Akhtyamov
Shots faced
24
Saves
24
Allowed
0
xGA
1.52
GSAx
+1.52

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 7:05Penalty
  • 1st 19:44Penalty
  • 2nd 2:47Easton Cowan (0–1)low · 32 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 2nd 6:58Penalty
  • 2nd 7:04Penalty
  • 3rd 10:04Penalty
  • 3rd 10:45Penalty
  • 3rd 15:26Penalty
  • 3rd 15:26Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty