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HFDG · 71 · 2021-22

KeithKinkaid

6'2", 194 lb, catches L, born July 4, 1989

Compare Kinkaid with another player
37
Games
20
Wins
90.4%
Save %
2.94
Goals Against Average
1
Shutouts

The story

Kinkaid allowed 1.7 goals more than the shots he faced were worth — 35th of 66 in goals saved above expected, 32nd of 66 in save percentage.

The split matters: 14th of 66 on high-danger shots but 31st of 66 on low-danger ones.

Against the league

Goals Saved Above Expected · 35 of 66
-1.75
GSAx/60 · 35 of 66
-0.05
Save % · 32 of 66
90.4%
Expected Save % · 29 of 66
90.6%
Delta Save % · 35 of 66
-0.16%
High Danger SV% · 14 of 66
78.8%
Medium Danger SV% · 55 of 66
83.3%
Low Danger SV% · 31 of 66
95.0%
Rebound Leak Rate · 42 of 66
5.5%
High-Danger Leak Rate · 23 of 66
8.3%
Rebound Rate · 34 of 66
4.31%
Shots Against/60 · 42 of 66
30.61

Each bar is a percentile against the 66 goalies with at least 15 games. The tick is the league median. Metrics where less is better are flipped, so longer is always better.

Where he was beaten

Goals against, over expected-5.7 on charted shots
stopped moreleaguebeaten more

Goals allowed less the goals those shots were worth, by where they came from. Red is ice he was beaten from more often than the chances warranted; green is ice he shut down. It sums to his goals saved above expected.

Shots faced, against the league

Shots faced, against the league1,107 shots faced
fewer than usualleaguemore than usual

Every goaltender faces the same slot-heavy map, so this draws only the difference: warm is where he faced more shots than a typical goalie would across the same workload, cool is where he faced fewer. It is a picture of the defence in front of him as much as of him.

By danger

ZoneShotsGoalsSv%
High danger1843978.8%
Medium2103583.3%
Low7133695.0%
All shots110410690.4%

Rebound control

SavesLeakedRate
All saves997555.5%
High danger145128.3%

A save “leaks” when the shooting club gets another attempt within three seconds. The high-danger split separates goaltenders the overall rate does not.

Workload

Value
Shots against1104
Saves998
Goals against106
Expected goals against104.25
Goals saved above expected-1.75
Minutes2164:03

In the AHL

SeasonClubGPSv%
2023-24CHI2488.0%
2022-23COL/PRO2791.1%
2021-22HFD3790.4%
2020-21HFD296.2%
2019-20CLT/LAV1788.8%

Every AHL season on file. A career total is only the AHL portion — junior, college and NHL games are not in this database.

Recent starts

DateOppFacedAllowedxGASv%
04-22vs CLT2621.5892.3%
04-15@ TOR3744.6389.2%
04-13@ BEL3512.7197.1%
04-08@ CLT3033.5490.0%
04-07@ CLT3142.7987.1%
04-02vs SYR2882.3771.4%
03-30@ WBS2752.6681.5%
03-26vs HER4334.7793.0%
03-23vs SPR2932.6089.7%
03-19@ BEL2923.2893.1%
03-18@ LAV530.8840.0%
03-12@ LV3263.6481.3%