Colorado Eagles at Tucson Roadrunners

Tucson Convention Center Arena · Tucson, AZ

Colorado Eagles

10:00 PM

Saturday, October 3

Tucson Roadrunners

Before puck drop

Win probabilityprojected

61%39%

Projected from each club’s goal differential to date, shrunk toward league average so an early hot start does not read as dominance, plus home ice. Once the puck drops this becomes the live win probability, with deserve-to-win marked across it.

Season to date

Colorado Eagles

412011

93 points in 72 games

21–15 on the road

Tucson Roadrunners

342810

78 points in 72 games

16–20 at home

Neither club has played yet this season, so everything here is how 2025-26 finished.

What they create

3.29Goals per game3.19

3.24Expected goals per game2.80

5.6High-danger chances per game4.3

32.8Shots per game28.5

What they allow

2.75Goals against per game3.32

2.67Expected goals against per game2.90

4.8High-danger chances against per game4.7

26.7Shots against per game28.8

The shorter bar is the better defence here. Every row is what the club concedes, so these read the opposite way to the panel beside them.

Previous meetings

Where

Tucson Convention Center Arena, Tucson, AZ

The shot map, the expected-goals race and the period splits all fill in as this game is played.