AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, June 3

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Toronto Marlies

Coca-Cola Coliseum · Toronto, ON

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
4:3
Final
Toronto Marlies

The sheet

WBSTORSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
54%46%
xG
2.22.9
High danger
53
Chances
89
Shots
2735

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TOR above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% TOR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal35
8Scoring chances9
5High-danger chances3
2.21Expected goals2.85

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–122–12–10.7–0.8
2nd12–103–52–10.8–1.1
3rd7–133–31–10.7–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

TOR−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
TOR117:01 of the 3rd2:592:59+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Sergei Murashov
Shots faced
35
Saves
32
Allowed
3
xGA
2.85
GSAx
-0.15
Artur Akhtyamov
Shots faced
27
Saves
23
Allowed
4
xGA
2.21
GSAx
-1.79

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:38Penalty
  • 1st 4:19Benoit-Olivier Groulx (0–1)4v5 · high · 11 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 1st 14:06Penalty
  • 1st 14:14Vinni Lettieri (0–2)5v4 · low · 54 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 1st 14:32Penalty
  • 1st 14:32Penalty
  • 1st 17:27Penalty
  • 1st 17:27Penalty
  • 1st 17:56Penalty
  • 2nd 3:14Joona Koppanen (1–2)high · 12 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 2nd 6:46Penalty
  • 2nd 9:00Chase Pietila (2–2)low · 54 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 2nd 12:53Penalty
  • 2nd 19:09Gabe Klassen (3–2)high · 19 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 3rd 11:09Penalty
  • 3rd 13:04Luke Haymes (3–3)5v4 · medium · 29 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 3rd 17:01Rutger McGroarty (4–3)medium · 9 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty