‹ Saturday, October 17
Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Springfield Thunderbirds
MassMutual Center · Springfield, MA
Lehigh Valley Phantoms6:05 PM
Saturday, October 17
Springfield ThunderbirdsBefore puck drop
45%55%
Projected from each club’s goal differential to date, shrunk toward league average so an early hot start does not read as dominance, plus home ice. Once the puck drops this becomes the live win probability, with deserve-to-win marked across it.
Season to date
Lehigh Valley Phantoms31356
68 points in 72 games
15–21 on the road
Springfield Thunderbirds32328
72 points in 72 games
18–18 at home
Neither club has played yet this season, so everything here is how 2025-26 finished.
What they create
2.92Goals per game2.88
2.74Expected goals per game2.53
4.1High-danger chances per game3.8
27.2Shots per game26.4
What they allow
3.43Goals against per game3.33
2.83Expected goals against per game3.03
4.2High-danger chances against per game4.7
28.5Shots against per game31.2
The shorter bar is the better defence here. Every row is what the club concedes, so these read the opposite way to the panel beside them.
Previous meetings
Where
MassMutual Center, Springfield, MA
The shot map, the expected-goals race and the period splits all fill in as this game is played.